I keep thinking that Pamela Paul, who is consistently heterodox by criticizing the “progressive” left, will be given the boot as a regular NYT op-ed columnist. But I’m happy to see that she’s still in there swinging, this time criticizing the progressive (do I need to keep calling it that?) brand of transgender activism in favor of common sense. This is not a “transphobic” point of view, but a liberal and empathic one.
It so happens that Trump campaigned against the extremist, activist form of gender activism, and that helped him win, but aspects of his transgender policy, like cutting off federal funding for people transitioning at any age, are not palatable to many of us. But many of us still refuse to countenance the participation in women’s athletics of men identifying as women, or the placement of trans women in rape-counseling centers, women’s shelters, or women’s prisons. Those are the trivially few (but fair) exceptions to otherwise complete legal and moral equality of trans people, and favoring them does not make you transphobic.
Nevertheless, Paul is going to be called transphobic for standing up for reason. In the article below she points out that her position, which is also mine, is classically liberal:
Democrats have long been on the right side of health care, scientific progress, women’s rights, gay rights and education. This is the party that truly cares about families and aims to address their needs, especially on the more pressing economic issues that have many Americans feeling that their backs are up against a wall. But on transgender issues specifically, one way to make clear that Democrats are listening to their constituencies would be to accept a broader range of perspectives.
Click below to read, or find the article archived here.
Paul points out the inordinate effort the Trump campaign put into opposing “progressive” gender issues, and notes that those ads had an effect, even though only a a small proportion of Americans are transgender. That’s because the ads pointed out a strong tilt of Harris’s campaign (and Biden’s administration) towards wokeness, even though I was convinced when Biden was elected in 2020 that he would be more centrist.
Paul:
During the closing weeks of the election, Republican campaigns spent over $65 million on ads ridiculing, among several candidates, Kamala Harris for supporting “taxpayer-funded sex changes for prisoners” and “illegal aliens,” all ending with variations on the tagline: “Kamala Harris is for they/them. President Trump is for you.”
At campaign events Trump attacked the idea of letting transgender girls and women play on female sports teams, and implied that children were having gender surgery in classrooms.
“Can you imagine you’re a parent and your son leaves the house,” he said at a rally in Wisconsin, “and you say, ‘Jimmy, I love you so much, go have a good day in school,’ and your son comes back with a brutal operation?”
Why did Trump and his allies devote so much attention and resources to something that seemingly affects a small number of people compared with top voter concerns like immigration, the economy, crime, abortion and democracy? Maybe because it worked. According to Harris’s leading super PAC, viewers shifted 2.7 percentage points toward Trump after watching one of these ads.
If that was true in general, then this issue alone would be sufficient to have swung the election towards Trump. But those who opposed Trump, including both Paul and me, have the concerns that I noted above, including as well some schools hiding children’s changed gender identities from their parents, as well the dangers of “gender-affirming care”:
Trump’s charge that children are undergoing gender transition surgeries in school is obviously absurd. But his words may have struck a chord with those who disagree with school districts that have teachers and administrators hide from parents that their children have adopted new gender identities. As The Times reported last year, one mother of a 15-year-old only accidentally discovered her child’s public school had been covering up the fact that for six months, her child had been going by a new name and using the boys’ bathroom.
In recent years, the concepts of gender identity and the possibility of being born in the wrong body have been introduced as early as elementary school. But a Washington Post poll found that 77 percent of Americans do not want teachers discussing these ideas in kindergarten through third grade and more than half oppose trans identity being talked about even in middle school.
The Democratic Party’s platform includes a pledge to defend gender-affirming care for minors. For people who are not well versed in the issue, this may sound like therapy to make children feel comfortable in their bodies; what it usually means in practice is allowing children to adopt a new name and pronouns, and in many cases, enabling them to change their bodies to resemble that of the opposite sex. This process can include puberty-blocking drugs, cross-sex hormones and, in some cases, surgery. More than 14,000 American children had gender-related medical interventions between 2019 and 2023.
While much of Europe has been pulling back from the gender-affirmation model, evidence has emerged that in the United States, proponents of this approach have let politics color science.
Trust in Democrats has also been hurt by their refusal to publicize data that might hurt the progressive form of gender activism, and that is offensive not just to the public, but also to scientists:
To cite two recent examples, one prominent advocate of gender-affirming care suppressed her own government-funded research because she feared it might be “weaponized” against her agenda, The Times reported. Meanwhile, Rachel Levine, the assistant secretary of health and human services chosen by President Biden, worked to get a transgender organization to remove age limits from its proposed guidelines for surgeries, including mastectomies and hysterectomies for minors, because she said they would give fuel to political foes, according to recently released court documents. After this disclosure, the Biden administration released a statement saying it opposed such surgeries for minors.
Yet the Department of Health and Human Services continues to say that gender-affirming care is “crucial” for young people and “has been shown to increase positive outcomes for transgender and nonbinary children and adolescents” — even though the most comprehensive overview of research, which assessed all major American and global studies on the subject, found scant evidence of this. Even so, all the leading American medical associations continue to back gender-affirming care.
I have written about this before,(so has Paul) and it’s simply wrong to remove age limits for surgeries (I favor 18 or 21), much less to suppress research showing that gender-affirming care isn’t all it’s cracked up to be, and doesn’t have the uniformly positive results that many advocates claim. Suppressing results that hurt your political platform, of course, is harmful because it injects ideology into science, but, more important, this impedes proper treatment of gender-dysphoric children.
In the end, people of good will are not “transphobic” in the sense of being bigoted against trans people. But there are limits—limits based on fairness and danger to women—in saying that transwomen should always be treated the same as biological women, and the same goes for transmen being treated as men. But those are exceptions, and I utterly reject people saying that those views are transphobic. As Paul says at the end:
Democrats should fight these tendencies and ensure that everyone, regardless of gender identity or sexual orientation, is respected and protected under existing law. Rather than double down on beliefs and policies that are out of step with the best medical evidence, Democrats and everyone else who support transgender rights should embrace a common-sense approach from their government, their schools, their mental health care workers and their doctors. Vulnerable people are depending on it.
May she have a long run at the NYT!
When it comes to telescopes, bigger really is better. A larger telescope brings with it the ability to see fainter objects and also to be able to see more detail. Typically we have relied upon larger and larger single aperture telescopes in our attempts to distinguish exoplanets around other stars. Space telescopes have also been employed but all that may be about to change. A new paper suggests that multiple telescopes working together as interferometers are what’s needed.
When telescopes were invented they were single aperture instruments. A new technique emerged in the late 1800’s to combine optics from multiple instruments. This achieved higher resolution than would ordinarily be achieved by the instruments operating on their own. The concept involves analysis of the interference pattern when the incoming light from all the individual optical elements is combined. This is used very successfully in radio astronomy for example at the aptly named Very Large Array. It is not just radio waves that are used, infra-red and even visible light interferometers have been developed saving significant costs and producing results that would otherwise not be achievable from a single instrument.
Image of radio telescopes at the Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array, located in Socorro, New Mexico. (Credit: National Radio Astronomy Observatory)One area of astronomical research is the study of exoplanets. Observing alien worlds orbiting distant stars presents a number of challenges but the two key difficulties are that they lie at great distances and orbit bright stars. The planets are usually small and faint making them almost (but not quite) impossible to study directly due to the brightness and proximity to their star. Some understanding of their nature can be gleaned from using the transit method of study. This involves studying starlight as it passes through any atmosphere present to reveal its composition.
Direct imaging and study is a little more challenging and requires high resolution and sometimes a way of blocking light from the nearby star. To achieve direct observations requires angular resolution of a few milliarcseconds or even less (the full Moon covers 1,860,000 milliarcseconds!) This depends largely on the planets size and distance from Earth and from its host star. To give some idea of context, to resolve a planet like Earth orbiting the Sun from a distance of just 10 light years requires an angular resolution of 0.1 milliarcseconds. The James Webb Space Telescope has a resolution of 70 milliarcseconds so even that will struggle.
This artist’s impression depicts the exomoon candidate Kepler-1625b-i, the planet it is orbiting and the star in the centre of the star system. Kepler-1625b-i is the first exomoon candidate and, if confirmed, the first moon to be found outside the Solar System. Like many exoplanets, Kepler-1625b-i was discovered using the transit method. Exomoons are difficult to find because they are smaller than their companion planets, so their transit signal is weak, and their position in the system changes with each transit because of their orbit. This requires extensive modelling and data analysis.A paper recently authored by Amit Kumar Jha from the University of Arizona and a team of astronomers explores this very possibility. They look at using interferometry techniques to achieve the required resolutions, at using advanced imaging techniques like the Quantum Binary Spatial Mode Demultiplexing to analyse the point spread function (familiar to amateur astronomical imagers) and at using quantum based detectors.
The study draws upon radio interferometric techniques with promising results. They showed that a multi-aperture interferometry approach utilising quantum based detectors are more effective than single aperture instruments. They will provide a super-resolution imaging solution that has to date not been used in exoplanetary research. Not only will it hugely increase resolution, it’s also a very cost effective way to observe exoplanets and indeed other objects across the cosmos.
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Pluto may have been downgraded from full-planet status, but that doesn’t mean it doesn’t hold a special place in scientist’s hearts. There are practical and sentimental reasons for that – Pluto has tantalizing mysteries to unlock that New Horizons, the most recent spacecraft to visit the system, only added to. To research those mysteries, a multidisciplinary team from dozens of universities and research institutes has proposed Persephone – a mission to the Pluto system that could last 50 years.
New Horizons rocketed past the Pluto system in 2015, which is now technically considered part of the Kuiper Belt. The mission collected data on the dwarf planet and its unique moon, Charon. Scientists have now had time to analyze the data from that mission, and it left them wanting more—in particular, data about some of the surface features that they observed.
Persephone has four main scientific questions it is designed to answer, according to a paper published back in 2021:
1) “How has the population of the Kuiper Belt evolved?”
2) “What are the particle and magnetic field environments of the Kuiper Belt?”
3) “How have the surfaces of both Pluto and Charon changed?”
4) “What are the internal structures of Pluto and Charon?”
That last one might be the most intriguing, as the answer for Pluto’s internal structure might be that it has a subsurface ocean despite being so far away from the Sun. There is already some evidence for this, as Pluto appears to have an active surface, and an ice sheet called Sputnik Planitia could potentially be caused by a subsurface ocean. We don’t have enough data yet to prove it.
That is what Persephone is designed to provide. Unfortunately, with the unforgiving logic of orbital mechanics and current constraints on propulsion technology, any such mission would take multiple decades, even with a gravity assist from Jupiter. The mission design for Persephone has been operational for almost 31 years, including a 28-year cruise phase and a three-year orbit period around Pluto and Charon. It could then have an extended operational mission to visit other Kuiper belt objects to help constrain the variance in the different kinds of objects in that massive section of space.
That travel time could be helped by the development of a more effective nuclear electric propulsion system, which could shave up to 2 years off it even with a heavier payload than currently planned for Persephone. Such a system has been described but might not be available for the planned 2031 launch date for Persephone on board an SLS rocket.
Fraser discusses the longevity of spacecraft, which will definitely be a consideration for any future missions to Pluto.Persephone will take a suite of sensors, no matter its propulsion system, which can be “brought to bear on any and every object encountered during the mission,”. According to the flight plan, that would include Jupiter and its moons. These sensors include cameras, spectrometers, radar, magnetometers, and altimeters to meet the mission’s necessary science objectives.
A critical differentiator for the mission is that it is designed to be an orbiter rather than a flyby. According to the authors, much of the data needed to be collected would be infeasible with the short period a flyby would provide with the system. An orbiter would be able to stick around and collect data over the three-year period about both Pluto and Charon, including their active surface dynamics.
This proposal is just one of many mission proposals to the outer planets seeking further funding, and a preliminary estimate of $3bn puts it in the higher range of those missions. But if it is funded in some capacity, it could provide answers to the questions that New Horizons posed, even if it would take several decades to reach them.
Learn More:
Howett et al – Persephone: A Pluto-system Orbiter and Kuiper Belt Explorer
UT – The (Dwarf) Planet Pluto
UT – NASA’s New Horizons Mission Still Threatened
UT – New Horizons is Funded Through the Decade. Enough to Explore Another Kuiper Belt Object
Lead Image:
Graphic of Pluto being visited by Persephone and all the different questions the mission could answer.
Credit – Howett et al.
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If you were lucky enough to observe a total eclipse, you are certain to remember the halo of brilliant light around the Moon during totality. It’s known as the corona, and it is the diffuse outer atmosphere of the Sun. Although it is so thin we’d consider it a vacuum on Earth, it has a temperature of millions of degrees, which is why it’s visible during a total eclipse. According to our understanding of black hole dynamics black holes should also have a corona. And like the Sun’s corona, it is usually difficult to observe. Now a study in The Astrophysical Journal has made observations of this elusive region.
For an active black hole, it’s generally thought that there is a donut-shaped torus of gas and dust surrounding the black hole, in which there is an accretion disk of heated material aligned along the rotational plane of the black hole. Streaming from the polar regions of the black hole are jets of ionized gas speeding away at nearly the speed of light. This model would explain the various types of active galactic nuclei (AGNs) we observe, since the orientation of the black hole relative to us changes the appearance of the AGN.
According to the model, the innermost region of the accretion disk should be a superheated region at near vacuum density, which streams into the black hole. It is a corona like the Sun’s, but instead of millions of degrees, it has a temperature of billions of degrees. But because it’s so diffuse, its light is overwhelmed by the light of the accretion disk.
Diagram of the polarization behavior of obscured black holes. Credit: Saade, et alIn this new study, the team used a trick similar to observing the Sun’s corona during a total eclipse. The orientation of a black hole relative to us means that for some black holes the torus of gas and dust obscures our view of the accretion disk region, while for other black holes we can see the disk directly. These are known as obscured and unobscured black holes. The obscured black holes are similar to an eclipsed Sun, since the light of the accretion disk is blocked from view. Unfortunately, so is the black hole’s corona. But the corona is so hot that it emits extremely high-energy X-rays. These X-rays can scatter off material in the torus and reflect into our line of site.
Using data from NASA’s Imaging X-ray Polarimetry Explorer (IPXE), the team gathered data on a dozen obscured black holes, including Cygnus X-1 and X-3 in the Milky Way, and LMG X-1 and X-3 in the Large Magellanic Cloud. They were not only able to observe scattered X-rays from the coronas of these black holes, they were also able to detect a pattern among them. Based on the data, the corona surrounds the black hole in a disk similar to the accretion disk, rather than surrounding the black hole in a sphere similar to the Sun’s corona.
Research such as this will help astronomers refine our models of black holes. It will also help us better understand how black holes consume matter and power the AGNs we observe in distant galaxies.
Reference: Saade, M. Lynne, et al. “A Comparison of the X-Ray Polarimetric Properties of Stellar and Supermassive Black Holes.” The Astrophysical Journal 974.1 (2024): 101.
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