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Saturday: Hili dialogue
Welcome to CaturSaturday, shabbos for Jewish cats: June 1, 2024, and we’ve reached June at last. It’s Graduation Day at the University of Chicago, and National Bubbly Day, celebrating sparkling wine. Just avoid the cheap, sweet stuff. Here’s a 7-minute video about how French champagne is made:
It’s also Dare Day, National Black Bear Day, Dinosaur Day, National Hazelnut Cake Day, Heimlich Maneuver Day, National Pineapple Day, National Prairie Day,World Milk Day, and Global Day of Parents.
As for Food Months, we have these for June:
- California Avocado Month.
- National Candy Month.
- National Cucumber Month.
- National Dairy Month.
- National Fresh Fruit and. Vegetable Month.
- National Iced Tea Month.
Today’s Google Doodle (click on image) celebrates the Men’s 2024 ICC T20 World Cup, a competition among cricket teams.
Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the June 1 Wikipedia page.
Da Nooz:
*According to the NYT, Trump went bananas after his conviction yesterday, but what else did you expect given the verdict?
As America began to absorb on Friday the conviction of Donald J. Trump, a first for a U.S. president, he criticized the criminal case and attacked the judge who oversaw his trial.
Mr. Trump, in a rambling and misleading 33-minute speech, derided the trial as “rigged” and made numerous false statements about what had taken place in court. His remarks came after he was found guilty on Thursday of all 34 felony counts of falsifying records to cover up a sex scandal that threatened to derail his 2016 presidential campaign.
Mr. Trump, who said he would appeal the verdict, continued to attack people who testified against him in the seven-week trial, specifically his former fixer, Michael D. Cohen, the star witness for the prosecution. He also admitted that he had gotten “very upset” with his lawyers.
He called the judge, Juan M. Merchan, the “devil.”
. . . At Trump Tower on Friday, Mr. Trump reprised his usual campaign attacks on immigrants and made numerous false representations about U.S. border policies under President Biden. He falsely claimed that American children couldn’t play Little League Baseball games anymore because undocumented immigrants were setting up too many tents.
Well, I’ll venture to predict (though I won’t be able to prove it) that Trump’s conviction will hurt his election chances in November. He is a convicted felon, and among the undecided voters that could make a difference. Plus he’s a bull-goose looney.
*Democratic Senator Tim Manchin from West Virginia, always a renegade, has changed his party affiliation to “independent”. Last winter he announced he wouldn’t be running again, but this suggests he will. And, if he’s elected, it means the Democrats will be even less able than before to count on his vote.
Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin III of West Virginia announced Friday that he has changed his party registration to independent, fueling speculation he could run for office again in November after announcing his retirement last year.
“My commitment to do everything I can to bring our country together has led me to register as an independent with no party affiliation,” Manchin wrote on X.
Manchin did not immediately say anything about his political plans. But the move allows him to possibly reconsider his plan to not seek reelection — or to run for governor, a job he previously held.
Aug. 1 is the deadline for independent candidates to file for office in West Virginia. Manchin was facing a Saturday deadline to register as an independent and still have a chance to file as an independent candidate this election.
The centrist senator announced in November 2023 that he would not run for another term, handing Republicans a likely pickup seat in solidly red West Virginia. The GOP nominee for the seat is the state’s governor, Jim Justice.
. . .For months, Manchin flirted with running for president as an independent or third-party candidate, worrying Democrats who anticipated a close rematch between President Biden and former president Donald Trump. But Manchin announced in February that he would “not be involved in a presidential run” this year.
Speculation has picked up in recent weeks that Manchin may be mulling a return to the governor’s office, though he reportedly said this week he would not enter the race. He said he is supporting the Democratic nominee, Steve Williams.
If Manchin decides to run for Senate again, he could have a fighting chance in a race that otherwise favors the GOP. CNN reported in March that Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) has talked with Manchin about running for reelection as an independent. At the time, Manchin said he did not expect to do so.
In fact, the guy is so much of a renegade that we don’t know what he’s going to do. All we can guess is that he’s going to run for something.
*The war in Gaza, now that the IDF is operating around Rafah, has become a real mess, as the three-man war cabinet has become split about what to do. The dissent involves whether to prioritize defeating Hamas or getting the hostages released (I suspect that a lot of them are actually dead.)
As the fighting continues, the debate in Israel over the necessary next steps is becoming more intense. The issue has not set the ruling coalition against all or part of the public. Rather, the divisions bisect the government and have split the three-man war cabinet consisting of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant and Chief of the General Staff Benny Ganz. The matter of who wins this debate, along with the issue of western pressure on Israel, are likely to determine the outcome of the war.
Former Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot, an observer in the war cabinet who is closely aligned with Gantz, was, according to Israel’s Channel 12 News channel, reported to have told the Knesset’s foreign affairs and defence committee last week that Israel should pause its Rafah operation in order to conclude an agreement for the release of the 128 Israeli hostages remaining in Hamas captivity.
While Eizenkot clarified in his statement that Israel would be able to recommence the fighting at a later date, this seems to be at odds with reality. The position of the Gaza Hamas leadership throughout has been that a hostage deal was possible only if Israel were to agree to a long-term cessation of the war. So if Israel really wishes to go down the route of prioritising the release of hostages, the cost is almost certainly an admission of defeat in the eight month-long military campaign in Gaza. Defeat in this context means the cessation of hostilities without the destruction of the Hamas ruling authority in Gaza.
. . .Among those in Israel who seek an early end of the war and a central emphasis on getting hostages released, this reality is accepted, rather than blurred. Thus Zehava Golan, a former leader of the left wing Meretz party, stated the matter plainly in a column in the Haaretz newspaper on Wednesday: ‘We need to bring back the hostages via a deal now, establish a state commission of inquiry to look into the events of 7 October and the conduct of this war, and stop the war itself,’ she wrote.
On the other side, Netanyahu and his allies reject the Hamas demand for an end to the war, seeing this (accurately) as representing surrender to the Islamist movement. Netanyahu, however, in a fudge of his own, was reported to have indignantly rejected the notion that he and those around him were refusing to give the team negotiating on the issue of the hostages a mandate that could lead to a successful agreement. But given that Hamas is clearly and openly demanding the end of the war as a price for agreement, it follows logically that any negotiating mandate that clearly rejects any such outcome does in fact then undermine the chance for a successful agreement on the hostages.
The reason for both Netanyahu and Eizenkot’s obfuscations is that the Israeli mainstream debate is not yet able to openly confront the horrific nature of the strategic position into which the Hamas leadership has placed it. Namely that it must either concede defeat to the Gaza Islamists, or follow a path that may well seal the fate of the 128 remaining Israeli hostages in Gaza.
This is a horrible dilemma; you lose the hostages or risk losing your country. What should the war cabinet do? They’ll probably continue going after Rafah and leave the hostages as a secondary consideration, for Netanyahu runs the war cabinet and a majority of Israelis want the IDF to persist in Rafah. The cold-hearted calculus might say that if you let Hamas persist in power and rescue all the hostages (Remember that we don’t know how many are still alive, and Hamas won’t say), in the long run more Israelis will die from terrorism than lives will be saved by recouping the hostages. But it’s still a horrible thing to do—making a calculus of lives. But this is an existential war for Israel, and those of us who pay attention now have to force ourselves to just sit back and try to disengage. After all, there’s little we can do.
*As always, I’ll steal three items from Nellie Bowles’s weekly summary of the news, called this week “The Trial of the Century of the Week“. Actually, I’ll steal four this week so I can slip in the loon Candace Owens:
→ What Chinese propaganda? A new poll of young people by the firm Blueprint finds that a huge percentage of them think America is basically hell. Specifically, they see it as “a dying empire led by bad people.” Also: they need a ride to lacrosse practice. Some 51 percent agreed that the U.S. political system “doesn’t work for people like me,” and 64 percent supported the idea that “America is in decline.” Only 26 percent think it matters who wins the next election. Now, I’m not going to say this can be traced back entirely to the fact that the youth have hooked their eyes to a Chinese propaganda machine, but it does raise the question. Like, I’m not happy about our presidential choices either, but I do think things are different if one or the other is chosen. Does that make me a patriot?
→ Candace Owens going full crazy: Our favorite right-wing influencer is not antisemitic but is just obsessed with the Jews, specifically tracking how various evil acts and empires in history can all be traced to Jewish influence. This is the vibe these days: “I will grant you that Stalin’s ancestry is still hotly debated. My Georgian friend tells me that his real name ‘Djugashivilli’ literally translates into ‘child of Judah’ and that everyone in Georgia knows he was Jewish but that is hearsay and hardly admissible as a fact. What we do know for a fact is that Stalin spoke Yiddish and his three wives were all Jews.” Hmm. Candace’s rantings—to her more than 5 million followers on Twitter/X alone—continue. [See this refutation of Owen’s tweet “the vibe”.]
Here are a few tweets I found by Candace Owens (click to go to tweet). She has 5.1 MILLION followers.
→ The polling problem is Biden, not Dems: Democratic Senate candidates in swing states are doing great, according to a new poll from the quite reliable Cook Political Report. While Biden is projected to lose to Trump in the noted states, the Dems’ Senate candidates are doing extremely well. Many are differentiating themselves from the Biden administration on unpopular-for-Dems issues like the border, in that they’re arguing they don’t want a fully open border. They’re playing up their pro-choice bona fides and displaying their youth and virility through confident, youthful exhibitions like cheering in jerseys at a soccer game. Makes you wonder: If Biden had stepped aside for another candidate, would Trump be in the lead right now? The poll results image is best on desktop, unfortunately for my cell phone readers:
→ Campus update: Harvard’s Students for Justice in Palestine group called for an escalation of “intifada,” which historically means attacks on Jews: “Escalate protests to an open intifada in every capital and city.” Columbia’s chapter of the same influential club explained: “Supporting a 2 state solution is an inherently zionist position as zionism means that you believe in Israel’s right to exist.” And Harvard’s commencement speaker, journalist Maria A. Ressa, defended herself against allegations of antisemitism with more antisemitism in her speech: “I was. . . called antisemitic by power and money because they want power and money.” Well, that clears that one up.
And then all of a sudden, Harvard decided to slow down on weighing in. They’re out of the condemnation game, they say, mostly, at least right now, maybe not forever.
*In the latest Weekly Dish, “The consistency of their genius,” Andrew Sullivan leaves the Trump conviction to one side and analyzes two pop-culture phenomena that he admires, the musical group The Pet Shop boys and the television show “South Park.”
In fact, I want to celebrate what still rocks my world: the staggeringly consistent, supremely intelligent, and self-assured genius of two unique duos still powering forward in two different worlds: South Park and Pet Shop Boys.
That those brand names are more recognizable than their creators — Matt Stone and Trey Parker, Neil Tennant and Chris Lowe — tells you something of what they have in common: a commitment to their own unique creativity, rather than their fame, and the discipline and grit to explore it for decades. Anti-celebrities, in their time but never of it, perfectionist but unafraid of failure, these two duos are proof, it seems to me, that a democratic culture, even one as decadent as ours, can still spawn excellence and intelligence, spanning high and low, and generating what I can only call joy.
South Park is going into its 27th season. And it has rarely been better. (I simply can’t believe so many people I meet say they haven’t watched in years. You’ve been missing out!) The new special on obesity — a deft masterclass of social commentary — has a brutal takedown of suburban white women jonesing for doses of Ozempic like meth-heads; a definitive — and musical! — digression into the insanity of the American healthcare system; pure, character-driven humor in a figure like Randy Marsh — a far subtler parody of the average American male than Homer Simpson; and, of course, Eric Cartman — the “big-boned” fat-ass kid whose capacity for pure evil was first truly captured in the epic “Scott Tenorman Must Die.”
You can read books on Ozempic, scan op-eds, absorb TikToks, and even listen to the Dishcast! — but nothing out there captures every single possible social and medical and psychological wrinkle of this new drug than this hour of crude cartoons. Yes, there are fart jokes. There are always fart jokes. But fart jokes amid a sophisticated and deeply informed parody of insurance companies? Or, in other episodes, toilet humor guiding us through the cowardice of Disney, the dopey vanity of Kanye, the wokification of Hollywood, the exploitation of black college athletes, the evil of cable companies, the hollowness of hate-crime laws, the creepiness of Christian rock, or the money-making behind legal weed? Only South Park pulls this off. Only South Park gets away with all of it.
It’s a 1990s high-low formula at root, sophisticated cultural and political knowingness married to crude cartoons, silly accents, m’kay, and a talking Christmas turd, Mr Hankey. Generationally, it really marked a moment when merging these two worlds seemed the most creative option — not an abandonment of seriousness, but the attachment of a humane levity to it. South Park can be brutal, but it is never cruel. Unless you’re Barbra Streisand or Bono. And virtually every character (even Eric) is redeemable. Except Meghan Markle.
I don’t get cable t.v., not because I can’t afford it pecuniarily but because I can’t afford it timewise or mentally: there are too many books to read. But when I read a paean like the one above, it does make me sad that I don’t watch the show. The episodes I’ve seen I have liked, but isnt that true of a lot of television shows. I can afford to get hooked on new shows when there are places to see and books to read. (This, of course, is just my subjective preferences and I don’t fault anyone who stays glued to the t.v. Wait a minute: yes I do. I don’t fault people who are selective in what t.v. they watch.
Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili is down by the Vistula River, having walkies with Malgorzata and Andrzej:
Hili: May we return home? A: Why? Hili: There is something alarming in the air. In Polish: Hili:: Czy możemy wrócić do domu? Ja: Dlaczego? Hili: Jest coś niepokojącego w powietrzu.
*******************
From Science Humor:
From America’s Cultural Decline Into Idiocy:
From Strange, Stupid, or Silly Signs:
From Masih (translation from the Turkish):
Masih Alinejad, who escaped from Iran to Europe and ran freely on the streets of London, made the following comment under the photo he shared on social media: “A God who is ashamed of my hair cannot be my God”
İran’dan Avrupa’ya kaçıp Londra sokaklarda özgürce koşan Masih Alinejad, sosyal medyada paylaştığı fotoğrafın altına şu yorumu yaptı:
“Benim saçımdan utanan Tanrı, benim Tanrım olamaz” pic.twitter.com/wd409qvmpG
— Uzaktan Gelen (@Uzaktan_Gelen_) May 30, 2024
From Luana. The free speech that was affirmed was that of the National Rifle Association, and though I dislike them intensely, I also think that their free speech rights must be preserved regardless of how odious they are. From CBS News:
The Supreme Court on Thursday ruled in favor of the National Rifle Association in a dispute over whether its free speech rights were violated when the top financial regulator for New York state pushed banks and insurance companies to sever ties with the gun rights group.
The court said in a unanimous opinion written by Justice Sonia Sotomayor that the NRA “plausibly alleged” that the New York regulator violated the First Amendment by coercing regulated entities to end their business relationships with the NRA in order to “punish or suppress” the group’s pro-gun rights advocacy.
“The critical takeaway is that the First Amendment prohibits government officials from wielding their power selectively to punish or suppress speech, directly or (as alleged here) through private intermediaries,” Sotomayor wrote.
This morning, the Supreme Court unanimously reaffirmed a foundational First Amendment principle: “A government official cannot coerce a private party to punish or suppress disfavored speech on her behalf.”
The Court held the @NRA plausibly alleged New York state officials… pic.twitter.com/z0vJFbHdox
— FIRE (@TheFIREorg) May 30, 2024
Emmanuel the Emu is being bad again, but so is Princess the Deer. But there’s also a baby bat having a nosh.
stop what you’re doing and look at this baby bat eating a strawberry pic.twitter.com/J6H0g18KGO
— Mirthful Moments (@moment_mirthful) May 30, 2024
From Larry the Cat via Simon:
First they came for Donald Trump and I… was relieved, as I’d been waiting ages for them to come for Donald Trump.
— Larry the Cat (@Number10cat) May 31, 2024
These tigers must be married:
“That’s my side of the bed”
pic.twitter.com/WVWCEDxO0F
— Science girl (@gunsnrosesgirl3) May 6, 2024
From the Auschwitz Memorial, a girl gassed on arrival at the camp. She was 12.
1 June 1931 | Dutch Jewish girl Leontine Juliette Susan was born in Amsterdam.
In November 1943 she was deported to #Auschwitz and murdered in a gas chamber. pic.twitter.com/HxxZBUXBUL
— Auschwitz Memorial (@AuschwitzMuseum) June 1, 2024
Two tweets from Dr. Cobb. First, live and learn:
A tiny fern from New Caledonia was found to have the largest genome of any living organism.
If unraveled, the DNA contained in a single cell would stand taller than the Statue of Liberty.
Read more @YaleE360: https://t.co/xPh0HoVdGG pic.twitter.com/LRMlj2teUH
— Yale Environment 360 (@YaleE360) May 31, 2024
And a big Martian cloud:
George Takach — Cold War 2.0: Artificial Intelligence in the New Battle between China, Russia, and America
So much of what we hear about China and Russia today likens the relationship between these two autocracies and the West to a “rivalry” or a “great-power competition.” Some might consider it alarmist to say we are in the midst of a second Cold War, but that may be the only responsible way to describe today’s state of affairs.
What’s more, we have come a long way from Mao Zedong’s infamous observation that “political power grows out of the barrel of a gun.” Now we live in an age more aptly described by Vladimir Putin’s cryptic prophecy that “artificial intelligence is the future not only of Russia, but of all mankind, and whoever becomes the leader in this sphere will become ruler of the world.”
George S. Takach’s incisive and meticulously researched new volume, Cold War 2.0, is the book we need to thoroughly understand these frightening and perilous times. In the geopolitical sphere, there are no more pressing issues than the appalling mechanizations of a surveillance state in China, Russia’s brazen attempt to assert its autocratic model in Ukraine, and China’s increasingly likely plans to do the same in Taiwan.
But the key here, Takach argues, is that our new Cold War is not only ideological but technological: the side that prevails in Cold War 2.0 will be the one that bests the other in mastering the greatest innovations of our time. Artificial intelligence sits in our pockets every day—but what about AI that coordinates military operations and missile defense systems? Or the highly sophisticated semiconductor chips and quantum computers that power those missiles and a host of other weapons? And, where recently we have seen remarkable feats of bio-engineering to produce vaccines at record speed, shouldn’t we be concerned how catastrophic it would be if bio-engineering were co-opted for nefarious purposes?
Takach thoroughly examines how each of these innovations will shape the tension between democracy and autocracy, and how each will play a central role in this second Cold War. Finally, he crafts a precise blueprint for how Western democracies should handle these innovations to respond to the looming threat of autocracy—and ultimately prevail over it.
George S. Takach holds a bachelor’s degree in history, political economy, and philosophy from the University of Toronto; a graduate degree from the Norman Paterson School of International Affairs at Carleton University; and a law degree from the University of Toronto. For forty years, he practiced technology law at McCarthy Tétrault, Canada’s premier law firm. He has written three books on technology law/tech commercial subjects. Cold War 2.0: Artificial Intelligence in the New Battle between China, Russia, and America is his first book for a general audience. He lives in Toronto.
Shermer and Takach discuss:
- Mao Zedong, 1927: “Political Power grows out of the barrel of a gun.”
- Vladimir Putin: “artificial intelligence is the future not only of Russia, but of all mankind, and whoever becomes the leader in this sphere will become ruler of the world.”
- What is AI and what will it be able to do in the coming decades?
- China’s surveillance state
- Russia and Ukraine
- Cold War 1.0: Autocracy, Democracy and Technology
- Cold War 2.0: AI and Autocracy and Democracy
- semiconductor chip supremacy
- quantum computing
- biotechnology
- China and Taiwan
- How China’s invasion of Taiwan is likely to unfold, and what the U.S. can do about it.
If you enjoy the podcast, please show your support by making a $5 or $10 monthly donation.
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