An innovative proposal would be a first for planetary exploration. Turns out, it’s as tough to drop inward into the inner solar system, as it is to head outward. The problem stems from losing momentum from a launch starting point on Earth. It can take missions several years and planetary flybys before capture and arrival in orbit around Mercury or Venus. Now, a new proposal would see a mission make the trip, using innovative and fuel efficient means.
Several months ago I reported, based on articles from sources like New York Magazine, that Pamala Paul, heterodox New York Times columnist, was leaving the paper’s op-ed section, and the paper altogether. I was upset to hear that, for although she didn’t toe the paper’s “progressive” line, her columns were thoughtful and liberal. Here’s the New York Magazine article (click headline to read):
The article was a bit ambiguous, as it implied that Paul’s ideas, which ran contrary to the NYT’s progressive op-ed aura, were the cause of her getting the pink slip. But the NYT also denied that. From the piece above:
Paul is admired by some of her colleagues for her willingness to buck liberal-left conventional wisdom. She has written a defense of J.K. Rowling and scrutinized the MeToo movement for overreach, while a recent column criticized the American Historical Society’s vote to condemn the ongoing “scholasticide” in Gaza. But others have said she does little more than produce rage bait, with what one Times staffer referred to as “intellectually lazy” positions. “It is a rarity inside the Times for someone to manage to make enemies on every desk they touch; Pamela is indeed a rarity,” one newsroom employee said. “She should have spent time making allies if she was going to be as divisive a figure as she was internally. But she didn’t put the time in there, or at least did not have the interest.”
I’m told, however, that Opinion’s decision to part ways with her is not because of her ideological positions. [Opinion editor Kathleen] Kingsbury said, “We don’t discuss personnel matters, but any insinuation I make staffing or editorial decisions based solely on political viewpoints is false.”
It’s really offensive to ask a heterodox columnist to suck up to her colleagues so they wouldn’t criticize her pieces. But that’s how the NYT rolls, and it’s the reason why Bari Weiss, among others, also left the paper. And note the weasel word “solely” in Kingsbury’s quote above.
For nine years (2013-2022), Paul was editor of the paper’s Book Review section, and then three years ago she moved to op-ed. I saw immediately that her columns were bucking the paper’s own ideology, and I believe I predicted (or at least worried) that she’d be fired for heterodoxy. Nevertheless, I discussed her pieces often (she was liberal and thoughtful but not “progressive”), and, when I heard her head was on the chopping block, I compiled a list of the columns that were likely to have irritated the top op-ed editors. Here’s a bunch of screenshots:
Despite the announcements by other venues, up to now Paul hasn’t said a word about her leaving, and her columns still appeared in the paper—though less often. Today, though, she verified the rumors by writing her farewell column, which you can read by clicking the headline below or seeing it archived here. And it’s clear from what she writes that she parted ways with the paper over her ideology and determination to tell the truth as she saw it. The NYT doesn’t like the truth if it doesn’t comport with “progressivism”.
A few quotes from Paul’s piece (indented). They lead me to believe that yes, she’s leaving because of what she wrote about and said.
This is my final column for The Times.
In the memo I wrote three years ago when applying for this job after 11 years at The Times Book Review, I vowed “to write to Times readers rather than to Twitter or to Slack.” I knew my positions, fundamentally liberal but often at odds with what had become illiberal progressive dogma, would ruffle feathers. But as I explained, “I want to write about that vast center/liberal space and to address what people really think and believe but are often too afraid to say.”
. . . I wasn’t looking to be loved or even liked. I had friends and family for that. I wanted to write what I believed to be the truth, based on facts and guided by fairness, but never driven by fear.
She lists some topics that, I’m guessing, the NYT probably wasn’t keen on:
But the reporting I’m most proud of is when I used my voice to stand up for people whose lives or work had come under attack, whether they were public figures or were dragged into the public eye because they’d dared to speak or act in ways that unjustly elicited professional or social condemnation: A popular novelist ostracized for alleged “cultural appropriation.” A physician assistant who was excoriated on social media for standing up to bullies. A Palestinian writer whose appearance at a prominent book fair was canceled. An early beneficiary of affirmative action who dared to explore its unintended consequences. Vulnerable gay teenagers who described being misled by a politicized medical establishment into dubious gender transition treatments. A public university president who was driven away by a campus besieged with political division. Social work students and faculty undermined by a school that had betrayed its own principles. A public health expert who risked opprobrium from his peers by calling out his profession on groupthink.
And it seems to me that much of her piece is simply a disguised lecture to the paper, letting them know that, as Jack Nicholson said, “You can’t handle the truth!”
Several years ago, The Times ran a campaign with the tagline “The truth is hard.” The way I’ve interpreted this is that the truth may be hard for some people to hear, but the truth should never be hard for journalists to tell. In our efforts to shed light on difficult subjects or to question conventional wisdom, we should never refrain from speaking what we believe to be the truth. Not because we think others can’t handle it and certainly not because we cannot handle it ourselves.
Readers are smarter and more thoughtful than the news media sometimes gives them credit for. They don’t need our protection. When journalists hold back, readers can sense they aren’t getting the full story. This sows doubt and skepticism at a time when readers desperately need news they can trust.
At the end, she thanks the readers for their feedback, both good and bad, and expresses hope that her pieces led people to examine their own views. Here’s the sad last paragraph:
Though I am leaving The Times, I will not be leaving behind these principles in my work as a journalist. Readers depend on our telling the truth more than ever.
This is a brave woman, for she surely realized that her columns and their topics wouldn’t go down well with her editors. Nevertheless, she persisted. I wish her Ceiling-Cat-speed and hope she continues to publish her views at some other widely-read venue. Thanks, Ms. Paul, for your contributions.
Tara Tanaka has returned (this video was not shown for two years) with a lovely video of Roseate Spoonbills (Platalea ajaja) feeding, preening and dunking on her property. They remind me of my ducks!
Tara’s notes are indented below; her Vimeo page is here and her flickr page here.
A Vision in Pink
In the spring of 2023 we had at least 16 Roseate Spoonbills visit our swamp, some of them here for almost two months. Two of the birds were adults in full breeding plumage, and the rest were juveniles likely fledged the summer before. All of the birds in this video are juveniles. In the traveling I’ve done I’ve never seen 16 Roseate Spoonbills at one time, and to have that many here in our cypress swamp for such a long time was quite a gift.
This video includes some of the highlights of their time here, with the opening and closing scenes shot from the living room (!) They bathed, preened, dried, fed and spent a lot of time roosting. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a bird species that had so much time to just roost without having to hunt for food — they must be very efficient feeders. One day there were very high winds and three of the spoonbills tried to hunker down in a large cypress where a wise old Wood Stork was easily riding out the winds. The old stork chose a very large branch and faced into the wind, while the young spoonies struggled to keep their balance in the middle of much smaller branches.
Last spring I kept hoping that some or all of these birds would return and nest, but I never saw even one spoonbill last year. I keep looking out the window hoping that this will be their year to nest here.
As these are all juveniles, I put a photo of adults from Wikipedia below. It’s labeled: “Foraging roseate spoonbills at Merritt Island, Florida, United States.” An excerpt from the article:
Little is known about the roseate spoonbill’s behavior outside of their foraging habits. This species feeds in shallow fresh or coastal waters by swinging its bill from side to side as it steadily walks through the water, often in groups. Moreover, the spoon-shaped bill allows it to sift easily through mud.
The bird feeds on crustaceans, bits of plant material, aquatic insects, mollusks, frogs, newts and very small fish (such as minnows) ignored by larger waders.[24][25][26] In Brazil, researchers found roseate spoonbill diets to consist of fish, insects, crustaceans, mollusks, and seeds, all foraged from limnetic/freshwater habitats.
Ke Wu, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia CommonsHere’s their range: year-round is purple, and breeding range is blue. You can see that in the U.S. they are year-round only at the tip of Florida and along the Gulf Coast:
Cephas, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
The quantum double-slit experiment, in which objects are sent toward a wall with two slits and then recorded on a screen behind the wall, creates an interference pattern that builds up gradually, object by object. And yet, it’s crucial that the path of each object on its way to the screen remain unknown. If one measures which of the slits each object passes through, the interference pattern never appears.
Strange things are said about this. There are vague, weird slogans: “measurement causes the wave function to collapse“; “the particle interferes with itself“; “electrons are both particles and waves“; etc. One reads that the objects are particles when they reach the screen, but they are waves when they go through the slits, causing the interference — unless their passage through the slits is measured, in which case they remain particles.
But in fact the equations of 1920s quantum physics say something different and not vague in the slightest — though perhaps equally weird. As we’ll see today, the elimination of interference by measurement is no mystery at all, once you understand both measurement and interference. Those of you who’ve followed my recent posts on these two topics will find this surprisingly straightforward; I guarantee you’ll say, “Oh, is that all?” Other readers will probably want to read
When do we expect quantum interference? As I’ll review in a moment, there’s a simple criterion:
To remind you what that means, let’s compare two contrasting cases (covered carefully in this post.) Figs. 1a and 1b show pre-quantum animations of different quantum systems, in which two balls (drawn blue and orange) are in a superposition of moving left OR moving right. I’ve chosen to stop each animation right at the moment when the blue ball in the top half of the superposition is at the same location as the blue ball in the bottom half, because if the orange ball weren’t there, this is when we’d expect it to see quantum interference.
But for interference to occur, the orange ball, too, must at that same moment be in the same place in both parts of the superposition. That does happen for the system in Fig. 1a — the top and bottom parts of the figure line up exactly, and so interference will occur. But the system in Fig. 1b, whose top and bottom parts never look the same, will not show quantum interference.
Fig. 1a: A system of two balls in a superposition, from a pre-quantum viewpoint. As the system evolves, a moment is reached when the two parts of the superposition are identical. As the system has then reached a single possibility via two routes, quantum interference may result. Figure 1b: Similar to Fig. 1a, except that when the blue ball is at the same location in both parts of the superposition, the orange ball is at two different locations. At no moment are the two possibilities in the superposition the same, so quantum interference cannot occur.In other words, quantum interference requires that the two possibilities in the superposition become identical at some moment in time. Partial resemblance is not enough.
The MeasurementA measurement always involves an interaction of some sort between the object we want to measure and the device doing the measurement. We will typically
For today’s purposes, the details of the second step won’t matter, so I’ll focus on the first step.
Setting UpWe’ll call the object going through the slits a “particle”, and we’ll call the measurement device a “measuring ball” (or just “ball” for short.) The setup is depicted in Fig. 2, where the particle is approaching the slits and the measuring ball lies in wait.
Figure 2: A particle (blue) approaches a wall with two slits, behind which sits a screen where the particle’s arrival will be detected. Also present is a lightweight measuring ball (black), ready to fly in and measure the particle’s position by colliding with it as it passes through the wall. If No Measurement is Made at the SlitsSuppose we allow the particle to proceed and we make no measurement of its location as it passes through the slits. Then we can leave the ball where it is, at the position I’ve marked M in Fig. 3. If the particle makes it through the wall, it must pass through one slit or the other, leaving the system in a superposition of the form
as shown at the top of Fig. 3. (Note: because the ball and particle are independent [unentangled] in this superposition, it can be written in factored form as in Fig. 12 of this post.)
From here, the particle (whose motion is now quite uncertain as a result of passing through a narrow slit) can proceed unencumbered to the screen. Let’s say it arrives at the point marked P, as at the bottom of Fig. 3.
Figure 3: (Top) As the particle passes through the slits, the system is set into a superposition of two possibilities in which the particle passes through the left slit OR the right slit. (The particle’s future motion is quite uncertain, as indicated by the green arrows.) In both possibilities, the measuring ball is at point M. (Bottom) If the particle arrives at point P on the screen, then the two possibilties in the superposition become identical, as in Fig. 1a, so quantum interference can result. This will be true no matter what point P we choose, and so an interference pattern will be seen across the whole screen.Crucially, both halves of the superposition now describe the same situation: particle at P, ball at M. The system has arrived here via two paths:
Therefore, since the system has reached a single possibility via two different routes, quantum interference may be observed.
Specifically, the system’s wave function, which gives the probability for the particle to arrive at any point on the screen, will display an interference pattern. We saw numerous similar examples in this post, this post and this post.
If the Measurement is Made at the SlitsBut now let’s make the measurement. We’ll do it by throwing the ball rapidly toward the particle, timed carefully so that, as shown in Fig. 4, either
(Recall that I assumed the measuring ball is lightweight, so the collision doesn’t much affect the particle; for instance, the particle might be an heavy atom, while the measuring ball is a light atom.)
Figure 4: As the particle moves through the wall, the ball is sent rapidly in motion. If the particle passes through the right slit, the ball will hit it and bounce back; if the particle passes through the left slit, the ball will miss it and will continue to the left.The ball’s late-time behavior reveals — and thus measures — the particle’s behavior as it passed through the wall:
[Said another way, the ball and particle, which were originally independent before the measurement, have been entangled by the measurement process. Because of the entanglement, knowledge concerning the ball tells us something about the particle too.]
To make this measurement complete and permanent requires a longer story with more details; for instance, we might choose to amplify the result with a Geiger counter. But the details don’t matter, and besides, that takes place later. Let’s keep our focus on what happens next.
The Effect of the MeasurementWhat happens next is that the particle reaches the point P on the screen. It can do this whether it traveled via the left slit or via the right slit, just as before, and so you might think there should still be an interference pattern. However, remembering Figs. 1a and 1b and the criterion for interference, take a look at Fig. 5.
Figure 5: Following the measurement made in Fig. 4, the arrival of the particle at the point P on the screen finds the ball in two possible locations, depending on which slit the particle went through. In contrast to Fig. 3, the two parts of the superposition are not identical, and so (as in Fig. 1b) no quantum interference pattern will be observed.Even though the particle by itself could have taken two paths to the point P, the system as a whole is still in a superposition of two different possibilities, not one — more like Fig. 1b than like Fig. 1a. Specifically,
The measurement process — by the very definition of “measurement” as a procedure that segregates left-slit cases from right-slit cases — has resulted in the two parts of the superposition being different even when they both have the particle reaching the same point P. Therefore, in contrast to Fig. 3, quantum interference between the two parts of the superposition cannot occur.
And that’s it. That’s all there is to it.
Looking Ahead.The double-slit experiment is hard to understand if one relies on vague slogans. But if one relies on the math, one sees that many of the seemingly mysterious features of the experiment are in fact straightforward.
I’ll say more about this in future posts. In particular, to convince you today’s argument is really correct, I’ll look more closely at the quantum wave function corresponding to Figs. 3-5, and will reproduce the same phenomenon in simpler examples. Then we’ll apply the resulting insights to other cases, including
It is generally accepted that the transition from hunter-gatherer communities to agriculture was the single most important event in human history, ultimately giving rise to all of civilization. The transition started to take place around 12,000 years ago in the Middle East, China, and Mesoamerica, leading to the domestication of plants and animals, a stable food supply, permanent settlements, and the ability to support people not engaged full time in food production. But why, exactly, did this transition occur when and where it did?
Existing theories focus on external factors. The changing climate lead to fertile areas of land with lots of rainfall, at the same time food sources for hunting and gathering were scarce. This occurred at the end of the last glacial period. This climate also favored the thriving of cereals, providing lots of raw material for domestication. There was therefore the opportunity and the drive to find another reliable food source. There also, however, needs to be the means. Humanity at that time had the requisite technology to begin farming, and agricultural technology advanced steadily.
A new study looks at another aspect of the rise of agriculture, demographic interactions. How were these new agricultural communities interacting with hunter-gather communities, and with each other? The study is mainly about developing and testing an inferential model to look at these questions. Here is a quick summary from the paper:
“We illustrate the opportunities offered by this approach by investigating three archaeological case studies on the diffusion of farming, shedding light on the role played by population growth rates, cultural assimilation, and competition in shaping the demographic trajectories during the transition to agriculture.”
In part the transition to agriculture occurred through increased population growth of agricultural communities, and cultural assimilation of hunter-gatherer groups who were competing for the same physical space. Mostly they were validating the model by looking at test cases to see if the model matched empirical data, which apparently it does.
I don’t think there is anything revolutionary about the findings. I have read many years ago that cultural exchange and assimilation was critical to the development of agriculture. I think the new bit here is a statistical approach to demographic changes. So basically the shift was even more complex than we thought, and we have to remember to consider all internal as well as external factors.
It does remain a fascinating part of human history, and it seems there is still a lot to learn about something that happened over a long period of time and space. There’s bound to be many moving parts. I always found it interesting to imagine the very early attempts at agriculture, before we had developed a catalogue of domesticated plants and animals. Most of the food we eat today has been cultivated beyond recognition from its wild counterparts. We took many plants that were barely edible and turned them into crops.
In addition, we had to learn how to combine different foods into a nutritionally adequate diet, without having any basic knowledge of nutrition and biochemistry. In fact, for thousands of years the shift to agriculture lead to a worse diet and negative health outcomes, due to a significant reduction in diet diversity. Each culture (at least the ones that survived) had to figure out a combination of staple crops that would lead to adequate nutrition. For example, many cultures have staple dishes that include a starch and a legume, like lentils and rice, or corn and beans. Little by little we plugged the nutritional holes, like adding carrots for vitamin A (even before we knew what vitamin A was).
Food preparation and storage technology also advanced. When you think about it, we have a few months to grow enough food to survive an entire year. We have to store the food and save enough seeds to plant the next season. We take for granted in many parts of the developed world that we can ship food around the world, and we can store food in refrigerated conditions, or sterile containers. Imagine living 5,000 years ago without any modern technology. One bad crop could mean mass starvation.
This made cultural exchange and trade critical. The more different communities could share knowledge the better everyone could deal with the challenges of subsistence farming. Also, trade allowed communities to spread out their risk. You could survive a bad year if a neighbor had a bumper crop, knowing eventually the roles will reverse. The ancient world had a far greater trading system than we previously knew or most people imagine. The bronze age, for example required bringing together tin and copper from distant mines around Eurasia. There was still a lot of fragility in this system (which is why the bronze age collapsed, and other civilizations often collapsed), but obviously in the aggregate civilization survived and thrived.
Agricultural technology was so successful it now supports a human population of over 8 billion people, and it’s likely our population will peak at about 10 billion.
The post The Transition to Agriculture first appeared on NeuroLogica Blog.
The Torino scale assess’ the risk of a near-Earth object impacting Earth. The list has just had a new addition, asteroid 2024 YR4 which poses a risk to Earth in 2032. The risk has been downgraded to 0% but there’s still value in studying asteroids that are going to come close to Earth. The James Webb Space Telescope just joined in the study by observing the asteroid to provide a new estimate of its size and showed that it’s spinning rapidly.
The news is always full of images from the Hubble Space Telescope and more recently the James Webb Space telescope but there is a new kid on the block. NASA’s SPHEREx space telescope was launched back in early March and we can already see its first image. The telescope has six detectors and together they can capture a region of sky 20 times wider than the Moon. The first images are uncalibrated but they give a hint as to the capabilities of the instrument.
How can Uranus be used to indirectly study its moons and identify if they possess subsurface oceans? This is what a recent study presented at the 56th Lunar and Planetary Science Conference hopes to address as a team of scientists investigated using passive radar sounding methods from Uranus to study its five largest moons: Miranda, Ariel, Umbriel, Titania, and Oberon. This study has the potential to help researchers better understand the formation and evolution of Uranus and its largest moons despite a spacecraft not currently visiting Uranus.