Yesterday was quiet, as the CSICon meeting consisted largely of workshops. The talks begin in earnest today, and I speak tomorrow morning, followed at 2:45 by a visit to what is recognized as Vegas’s best buffet. First, some pictures of the Strip.
The view from the conference venue, on the 26th floor of the Horsehoe Casino, where there’s a convention center. Vegas is located in the middle of nowhere, among the parched Nevada mountains you can see in the distance.
Below: The Strip, otherwise known as S. Las Vegas Boulevard. I haven’t yet seen it in its full glory at night, when it’s bedecked with moving lights, fountains, and other things to catch the eye, but the whole street is lined with large casinos that, of course, contain hotels for vacationers and gamblers: I believe these two are Caesar’s Palace and the Bellagio
Oy. Alcohol is everywhere: it seems that every other store is selling beer or margaritas (apparently a local favorite). “Paris” is a casino with replicas of Parisian monuments (see below):
Some of the buildings are replicas of famous structures elsewhere in the world. To wit, there’s a pretty good-sized Eiffel Tower, as well as Belle Epoque architecture:
And, of course, an Arc de Triomphe:
If an unlucky Martian traveler happened to land in Vegas to survey America, it would immediately depart for home, freaked out and baffled. In fact, being in this city, which I see as the Gate to Hell, makes me feel my own mortality even more strongly. Thank goodness I have the CSICon conference to repair to.
But I also found a duck-themed donut store. Those are small rubber ducks in the window.
The Big Event of last evening was the award of this year’s Richard Dawkins Prize (for the public promulgation of science), which went to British physicist Brian Cox.
The ceremony began with a video filmed in Oxford of Richard describing Cox’s achievements, not neglecting his musical achievements as keyboard player for the rock band Dare (they released two albums). Richard showed a clip of Cox at a recent performance with the band D:Ream at the Glastonbury Festival, playing keyboard on the hit “Things Can Only Get Better“. Neil deGrasse Tyson, who made the formal presentation of the award to Cox, pointed out that the song title meant that, at the time, things were at their absolute rock bottom.
Here’s that Glastonbury video from June of this year. Click on “Watch on YouTube:
Tyson’s introduction was, as expected, lively and hilarious, and he wrote it just yesterday, as I learned from dinner on Wednesday. I wasn’t close enough to see the award (it’s always an appropriate statuette, this time made of glass), but here are a couple of lousy, long-distance iPhone photos of the two of them, with Cox getting the award:
The Presentation:
As usual, the recipient then gives an hour lecture on their work, and Cox chose to talk about black holes. It was an absorbing talk with only a couple of slides. The center of attention was the speaker Cox, delivering a perfect talk without notes and without saying “uh” once. This is a man of eloquence, and one who knows how to speak without notes (humanties professors: please learn at least the latter skill).
Da Nooz:
There may be more nooz later as I slept late (hooray!) and must get coffee and hie myself to the conference.
*First, however, I’ll steal my usual three items from Nellie Bowles’s weekly news summary at The Free Press, called this week “TGIF: The McDonald’s Election” (this refers to Trump’s stunt of serving fries at a drive-through McDonald’s). The TGIF is archived here.
I was going to write about this first one, but I’ll let Nellie do it:
→ We hide study results we don’t like: Researchers behind a long-term study on the impact of puberty blockers in gender-dysphoric teens announced that after almost a decade of collecting enormous data they. . . will not release the findings. The vibes aren’t right to release them. They’re holding them back because the findings so far are not good for the cause, said the lead researcher, Johanna Olson-Kennedy. I’m totally serious. The cause here is expanding the use of puberty blockers. And more broadly, the cause is that gender-dysphoric minors need hormonal and surgical interventions. This is part of a pattern to hide data on transitioning minors from the public.
Olson-Kennedy put it this way, in explaining why she will not release the study results: “I do not want our work to be weaponized.” Weaponized here means: People looking at the science she did and responding to it. All Olson-Kennedy admits is that: “Puberty blockers did not lead to mental health improvements.” But she won’t say more! You can’t see the data yourself. Puberty blockers don’t help, but that’s all I’ll say, and I refuse to explain myself.
If this was a privately funded study, I’d say fine. But it’s not. This study was funded with tax dollars. This study was done through the National Institutes of Health. You cannot take American taxpayer money and then refuse to release results because it’s politically inconvenient. But actually, if no one is going to hold you to account—if, in fact, your decision is celebrated—then I guess you can.
Oh, but this study that showed high levels of satisfaction with puberty blockers? This one was published. Very good. So everyone can keep saying scientific consensus, evidence-based,and research-backed. With this one weird trick, you can say that the opposing voices have no evidence (by quickly killing anything that could be evidence).
→ Facebook censorship: Just for old times’ sake, Facebook is doing some censoring ahead of the election. This time it’s a little harder, yes, but they’re up to the task. So the new rule is: You are not allowed to write about the Biden administration’s inefficiencies. Yes, Facebook will block you for trying. Specifically: You cannot point out that the administration set aside $42 billion in 2021 to set up rural broadband and has so far connected zero people. Nor can you point out that they set aside $7.5 billion for electric vehicle charging stations and have, after two and a half years, built eight charging stations. Post about it and it’ll be blacked out as FALSE INFORMATION. This paragraph you just read is forbidden knowledge.
When Facebook was busted for this—this being blocking negative content about Kamala Harris ahead of the election—Facebook said oops! Whoops! Boop! Heard blasting in Facebook HQ: the old Britney anthem. Old habits die hard. Let’s just hope Ella Emhoff doesn’t have a weird laptop floating around!
This is pretty funny:
→ No, Trump does not work at McDonald’s: Donald J. Trump this week took a break from selling Trump Coins and Trump Bibles to do a campaign stunt at a McDonald’s in Feasterville, Pennsylvania. There, he donned a blue apron and learned fry frying techniques while cameras rolled. He went to the takeout window and handed out burgers to giddy supporters. It was pretty standard retail politics, like when politicians in England pull pints or in France, where I assume they disclose an affair. It’s called appealing to the average voter. No one was confused about what was happening. No one needed to get upset. But watching Trump eke past Kamala in the latest polls in this very tight race, the mainstream media could not let McDonald’s stand. First of all: Did you know the photo shoot was staged and that Trump does not actually work at McDonald’s?
That’s right. You caught them: The campaign planned ahead to have the former president come to a McDonald’s franchise. He didn’t even apply through the online portal to become a member of the crew. And did you know his technique was bad? Horrible. Here’s The New York Times explaining that the former president is not good at making fries: “After Donald Trump served fast food during a campaign stop at a McDonald’s, several actual McDonald’s workers who examined a video of his performance earned mixed reviews from workers and patrons alike.” He also threw salt over his shoulder, which was against health codes. Someone appoint a special prosecutor immediately.
Did you know that doing a campaign stop at a fast-food joint is not like actually working at a fast-food joint? MSNBC needs to make sure. Next we’re going to have a special edition investigating whether the tooth fairy is just your mom.
*The NYT reports, as we all know, that the election polls show it to be a squeaker. But even a NYT/Siena poll shows it to be dead even:
Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump are locked in a dead heat for the popular vote, 48 percent to 48 percent, the final national poll by The New York Times and Siena College has found, as Ms. Harris struggles for an edge over Mr. Trump with an electorate that seems impossibly and immovably divided.
The result, coming less than two weeks before Election Day, and as millions of Americans have already voted, is not encouraging for Ms. Harris. In recent elections, Democrats have had an edge in the popular vote even when they have lost the Electoral College and thus the White House. They have been looking to Ms. Harris to build a strong national lead as a sign that she would do well in such critical swing states as Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump remain effectively tied even after three of the most tumultuous months in recent American political history. A high-profile debate, two attempts on Mr. Trump’s life, dozens of rallies across seven battlefield states and hundreds of millions spent on advertisements have seemingly done little to change the trajectory of the race.
Ms. Harris’s position, if anything, may have declined among likely voters since the last Times/Siena College poll, taken in early October. At the time, she had a slight lead over Mr. Trump, 49 percent to 46 percent. The change is within the margin of error, but The Times’s national polling average has registered a tightening in polls over the past few weeks as well, suggesting at the very least that this contest has drawn even closer.
While this latest Times/Siena College poll offers a glimpse into national sentiment, the presidential election will be decided in the seven battleground states where Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump have devoted the overwhelming amount of their time and resources. Most polls in those states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin — suggest the contest is equally close.
Here’s a visual depiction of what the article already said:
*Below is a video of pro-Israel Iranian singer and writer Elica Le Bon taking apart Ta -Neheshi Coates’s pig-ignorant diatribe against Israel in his latest book as well as when Coates did an interview with Trevor Noah. Just skip the first 30 and last 30 seconds if you don’t need the commentary. Le Bon is one of the most eloquent spokespeople Israel, cutting through the forest of lies and misconceptions that surround this conflict.
Elica on the futility of Western policies that favor Hamas (e.g., calls for a cease-fire). Cenk Uygur has a cameo trying hard to pop an artery.
More later; I need coffee, and they don’t provide in the rooms here. That is a serious issue.
The odds are good that we are not alone in the Universe. We have found thousands of exoplanets so far, and there are likely billions of potentially habitable planets in our galaxy alone. But finding evidence of extraterrestrial life is challenging, and even the most powerful telescopes we currently have may not produce definitive proof. But there are telescopes in the pipeline that may uncover life. It will be decades before they are built and launched, but when they are, which systems should they target first? That’s the question answered in a recent paper.
There are two major projects in the pipeline with the specific goal of searching for life. One is NASA’s Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO), and the other is the Large Interferometer For Exoplanets (LIFE). Both would use high-resolution spectroscopy to map the chemical composition of exoplanet atmospheres and identify potential biosignatures. But both are in the early design and proposal stages, and it will be at least the 2040s before either are launched. Both also have a downside, in that they will need long observing times to capture detailed spectra. So when they are launched, they won’t be able to look at exoplanets willy-nilly. They will need a specific plan.
This is where this new paper comes in. In it, the team outlines the criteria for prioritizing targets. Drawing from a range of sources, they filter known exoplanet systems into some best-case groups. The first consists of main-sequence stars within 30 parsecs of Earth. But rather than considering all nearby stars, the list only includes stars that are either single stars or wide binaries. The idea is that these are most likely to have planetary systems with stable orbits. The group also excludes red dwarfs, since red dwarfs are likely to produce large flares and x-rays hostile to life.
The second group consists of star systems that are positioned in a region of the sky best suited for observation by LIFE and HWO. For example, if a system is aligned with the orbital plane of Earth, it will be more difficult to study since the Sun will be in the way for part of the year.
The third group consists of the “Golden Targets.” These are systems known to have potentially habitable planets with atmospheres and excellent observing conditions. There are currently about ten systems in this group, but future observations are likely to add more to the list before LIFE and HWO are launched. This group represents the priority targets for these missions.
If you are curious, you can see which systems are in each group at the LIFE Target Star Database.
Reference: Menti, Franziska, et al. “Database of Candidate Targets for the LIFE Mission.” Research Notes of the AAS 8.10 (2024): 267.
The post Here are Some Potentially Habitable World Targets for the Upcoming LIFE Mission appeared first on Universe Today.
Meanwhile, in Dobrzyn, Hili is being cool with Szaron:
Szaron: Are we going to the garden? Hili: I don’t know, I had other plans.
Szaron: Idziemy do ogrodu?
Hili: Nie wiem, miałam inne plany.
China has some bold plans for space research and exploration that will be taking place in the coming decades. This includes doubling the size of their Tiangong space station, sending additional robotic missions to the Moon, and building the International Lunar Research Station (ILRS) around the lunar south pole. They also hope to begin sending crewed missions to Mars by 2033, becoming the first national space agency to do so. Not to be left behind in the commercial space sector, China is also looking to create a space tourism industry that offers suborbital flights for customers.
One of the companies offering these services is Jiangsu Deep Blue Aerospace Technology, a private launch company founded in November 2016 by Chinese entrepreneur Huo Liang. On October 24th, at 6:00 pm local time (03:00 am PDT; 06:00 am EDT), during a “Make Friends” Taobao live broadcast, Huo shared the companies’ latest progress on their commercial spacecraft. He also announced the pre-sale of tickets for the first suborbital launch in 2027. The company also posted an infographic with the details of the flight on the Chinese social media platform Weixin (WeChat).
Commercial space travel has advanced considerably in the U.S. and other countries in recent years. In 2021, Virgin Galactic launched its first commercial space mission from Spaceport America near Las Cruces, New Mexico, ferrying Sir Richard Branson and selected passengers to space. A few weeks later, Blue Origin conducted the first crewed mission of its New Shepard rocket, with CEO Jeff Bezos and a crew of five taking off from the company’s launch site near El Paso, Texas. Later that year, SpaceX’s Dragon spacecraft took four passengers to orbit as part of the mission, Inspiration4, first all-civilian spaceflight.
Deep Blue Aerospace's new hop test (5-10 km level) failed in the final stages today in Inner Mongolia, according to this news report. Waiting for video of the attempt. https://t.co/bexXAZzWwo https://t.co/OEWrwKu0ro
— Andrew Jones (@AJ_FI) September 22, 2024In addition to Deep Blue Aerospace, multiple commercial space startups have emerged in China since 2014, including Galactic Energy, LandSpace, LinkSpace, ExPace, OneSpace, and Orienspace. For several years, these companies have been researching reusable rockets and engines to realize domestic commercial launch capability. During this time, Deep Blue Aerospace has accomplished many milestones that will make commercial launches possible. Between 2021 and 2022, the company completed “hop tests” using its Nebula-1 reusable rocket, which achieved China’s first vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL).
The first test occurred on October 13th, 2021, and saw the Nebula-1 complete a 100-meter (328 ft) flight, followed by a 1-km (0.62 mi) flight on May 6th, 2022. Unfortunately, the company experienced an accident during a 5 to 10 km (3 to 6.2 mi) test flight in September when a Nebula-1 first stage exploded while attempting to land. As the company stated in their infographic:
“In order to ensure the comprehensive maturity and stability of the technology, Deep Blue Aerospace is intensively preparing for the next high-altitude recovery test, striving for perfection in every detail. The improvement of rocket recovery technology will lay a solid foundation for Deep Blue Aerospace to promote suborbital travel projects and open a new chapter in human exploration of space.”
According to the company, the first high-altitude vertical recovery flight of Nebula-1’s first stage will take place in November 2024. This will be followed by the rocket’s first orbital reentry and recovery test in the first quarter of 2025 and multiple recovery and reuse tests throughout the year. The company intends to conduct dozens of tests using a fully stacked Nebula-1 rocket and crewed spacecraft in 2026. If all goes according to plan, the company will commence suborbital flights in 2027.
A side-by-side comparison of the SpaceX Dragon and Deep Blue Space space capsules.The infographic also previews what the launch vehicle and spacecraft will look like, which have some notable similarities to SpaceX and Blue Origin vehicles. For instance, the crew capsule strongly resembles the SpaceX’s Crew Dragon vehicle, which includes the launch abort system consistsing of eight thrusters distributed into four clusters. However, the Dragon space capsule has only two viewports, whereas the Nebula-1 reportedly has five (though eight can be seen in the infographic), which is more akin to Blue Origin’s New Shepard space capsule, which has six large viewports.
In addition, the Nebula-1 launch vehicle is also similar in design to the SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket. This includes the payload fairing, the chassis, the grid fins on the interstage structure, and the fold-out landing legs. The Nebula-1 also has nine Thunder-R1 engines arranged in a circle around a single engine. This is very similar to the Falcon 9‘s arrangement of eight Merlin thrusters (which fire during takeoff) surrounding a single thruster used for landing. According to the rocket specifications, the Nebula-1 weighs 7,900 kg (8.7 U.S. tons) fully fueled and has a payload capacity to LEO of almost 2,000 kg (2.2 U.S. tons) – though they plan to increase this to 8,000 kg (8.8 U.S. tons)
The specs also note that the rocket has a maximum flight altitude of 100 to 150 km (62 to 93 mi) and can be reused a maximum of 50 times. This is a far cry from Falcon 9′s takeoff mass of 549,054 kg (605 U.S. tons) and a payload capacity of 22,000 kg (24.25 U.S. tons), and the number of times it can be reused is likely an inflated estimate. But the appearances still suggest that the Nebula-1’s design was inspired by the Falcon 9, which has set the standard for rocket retrieval and reusability.
Meanwhile, the spacecraft reportedly measures 4 m (13 ft) in height and 3.5 m (11.5 ft) in diameter and can carry six passengers in a single flight. This is comparable to the New Shepard space capsule and falls just short of the Dragon’s capacity of up to 7 passengers. However, the inaugural flight will consist of three crewmembers spending a total of 12 minutes in flight and 5 minutes experiencing weightlessness. The rocket will fly to an altitude of 100 km (62 mi) – aka. the Karman Line, the official boundary between Earth and space. As the company indicated:
“During the suborbital flight of Deep Blue Spacecraft, passengers will experience much more than a brief weightlessness experience. They will experience the vastness and mystery of the universe and witness the magnificent landscape beyond the earth. This will be an all-round, multi-sensory space journey that will be unforgettable for a lifetime.”
Side-by-side comparison of the Nebula-1 and Falcon 9 rockets. Credit: Deep Blue Space/SpaceXPer the pre-sale, two tickets are being offered for 1.5 million yuan, with a ticket deposit price of 50,000 yuan. This is equivalent to roughly $200,000 and $7,000, respectively. Presumably, the third seat will be occupied by Huo, who may be hoping to follow Branson and Bezos’ example by participating in the inaugural flight. The people purchasing the tickets will also receive a “1,000-yuan Cultural and Creative Gift Package” and a commemorative model of the Nebula-1 rocket. According to the infographic and statement, they will also be given the chance to view the launch of a Long March rocket from a launch center of their choice – Jiuquan, Wenchang, or Xichang.
Potential ticket buyers must also meet certain health requirements, undergo a medical evaluation, be 18 to 60 years old, and participate in pre-flight safety training a month before the flight. Because certain “technical details and specific information” will be revealed during the flight, passengers must also sign a confidentiality agreement. Additional details are provided on Deep Blue Aerospace’s Taobao official store page.
The company also plans to unveil the Nebula-2, a medium to heavy-lift launch vehicle powered by liquid oxygen and kerosene. This rocket will reportedly be capable of lifting payloads of up to 20,000 kg (22 U.S. tons) to LEO (comparable to the Falcon 9) and has an inaugural launch planned for late 2025.
Further Reading: Weixin
The post Chinese Company is Taking Space Tourism Orders for 2027 Flights appeared first on Universe Today.